Quem se abstém no Brasil? Competição local e efeito da Covid-19 na participação do eleitor no primeiro turno da eleição municipal de 2020
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.1590/s0102-6992-202237020010Palabras clave:
elecciones municipales, 2020, covid-19, competicion política, abstencionResumen
El artículo forma parte de la línea de investigación sobre la participación de los votantes en las disputas políticas locales. A partir de un modelo multivariante, el objetivo es analizar los efectos de las variables políticas asociadas al efecto de la pandemia de covid-19 en la abstención electoral en las elecciones municipales de 2020 en Brasil. Las disputas por la alcaldía de los 5.568 municipios con elecciones municipales se consideran para responder a la pregunta: ¿dónde y quién más se abstuvo en las elecciones de 2020? Los resultados muestran que desde el punto de vista agregado, los municipios con más muertes por covid-19 tendieron a tener una mayor abstención. Sin embargo, el número de candidatos, utilizado como indicador de la competencia electoral, ejerció un fuerte efecto contrario. A nivel individual, los datos oficiales indican que los hombres, la baja escolaridad y la edad de más de 40 años tendieron a participar menos en las elecciones de 2020.
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