O processo de transição política na pós-Primavera Árabe Líbia Mudança de regime imposta por estrangeiros, tribo, milícias e guerra civil

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Maria Helena Castro Santos
Rebeca Mansur Vieira


É possível exportar democracia pelo uso da força? Este artigo refere-se a essa questão, tomando como caso empírico a intervenção militar da OTAN/Estados Unidos no Líbano durante os levantes da Primavera Árabe  em 2011 e seu seguimento. Propomo-nos a testar e refinar o modelo da Foreign Imposed Regime Change- FIRC (quantitativo) utilizando os métodos qualitativos de estudo de caso e process tracing.  Tais métodos permitem identificar variáveis independentes não antecipadas pelo modelo FIRC, desvendando as reais e complexas clivagens sócio-políticas do país que inibem a democratização e abrem caminho para a guerra civil.


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Castro Santos, Maria Helena, e Rebeca Mansur Vieira. 2020. “O Processo De transição política Na pós-Primavera Árabe Líbia: Mudança De Regime Imposta Por Estrangeiros, Tribo, milícias E Guerra Civil”. Meridiano 47 - Journal of Global Studies 21 (setembro). https://doi.org/10.20889/M47e21018.
Biografia do Autor

Maria Helena Castro Santos, Universidade de Brasília

Universidade de Brasília, Instituto de Relações Internacionais

Rebeca Mansur Vieira, Universidade de Brasília

Universidade de Brasília, Instituto de Relações Internacionais


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