O processo de transição política na pós-Primavera Árabe Líbia Mudança de regime imposta por estrangeiros, tribo, milícias e guerra civil

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Maria Helena Castro Santos
Rebeca Mansur Vieira

Resumo

É possível exportar democracia pelo uso da força? Este artigo refere-se a essa questão, tomando como caso empírico a intervenção militar da OTAN/Estados Unidos no Líbano durante os levantes da Primavera Árabe  em 2011 e seu seguimento. Propomo-nos a testar e refinar o modelo da Foreign Imposed Regime Change- FIRC (quantitativo) utilizando os métodos qualitativos de estudo de caso e process tracing.  Tais métodos permitem identificar variáveis independentes não antecipadas pelo modelo FIRC, desvendando as reais e complexas clivagens sócio-políticas do país que inibem a democratização e abrem caminho para a guerra civil.

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Castro Santos, Maria Helena, e Rebeca Mansur Vieira. 2020. “O Processo De transição política Na pós-Primavera Árabe Líbia: Mudança De Regime Imposta Por Estrangeiros, Tribo, milícias E Guerra Civil”. Meridiano 47 - Journal of Global Studies 21 (setembro). https://doi.org/10.20889/M47e21018.
Seção
Artigos
Biografia do Autor

Maria Helena Castro Santos, Universidade de Brasília

Universidade de Brasília, Instituto de Relações Internacionais

Rebeca Mansur Vieira, Universidade de Brasília

Universidade de Brasília, Instituto de Relações Internacionais

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